{"id":7748,"date":"2026-10-29T17:52:39","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T21:52:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/?p=7748"},"modified":"2026-10-29T20:51:13","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T00:51:13","slug":"%e6%b0%91%e4%b8%bb%e7%9a%84%e6%96%b0%e4%b8%80%e5%a4%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/?p=7748","title":{"rendered":"\u6c11\u4e3b\u8fce\u6765\u65b0\u7684\u4e00\u5929"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7f16\u6309\uff1a<\/h3>\n

10\u670825\u65e5\u8fd9\u4e00\u5929\uff0c\u585e\u5c14\u7ef4\u4e9a\u5b66\u751f\u8fd0\u52a8\u5728\u8bae\u4f1a\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\u51fb\u8d25\u6267\u653f14\u5e74\u7684\u6b66\u5951\u5947\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u5362\u62c9\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f6e\u6295\u7968\u4e2d\u9006\u8f6c\u5f17\u62c9\u7ef4\u5965\u00b7\u535a\u7d22\u7eb3\u7f57\uff0c\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u9886\u8896\u9a6c\u67e5\u591a\u56de\u56fd\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u300a\u6c11\u4e3b\u5b63\u520a\u300b\u521b\u520a\u8054\u5408\u4e3b\u7f16\u6234\u96c5\u95e8\uff08Larry Diamond\uff09\u628a\u8fd9\u4e00\u5929\u4e0e\u8461\u8404\u7259\u5eb7\u4e43\u99a8\u9769\u547d\u3001\u67cf\u6797\u5899\u5012\u584c\u7b49”\u7b2c\u4e09\u6ce2”\u6c11\u4e3b\u5316\u7684\u8f6c\u6298\u65e5\u5e76\u5217\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u8fd1\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74”\u6c11\u4e3b\u8870\u9000”\u8d70\u5411\u7ec8\u7ed3\u7684\u5f00\u7aef\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u66f4\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u5728\u4e8e\u6bd4\u8f83\u89c6\u89d2\u3002\u585e\u5c14\u7ef4\u4e9a\u7684\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u9760\u7684\u662f”\u65e0\u9886\u8896”\u8fd0\u52a8\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u4e25\u5bc6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3001\u8d70\u904d\u5168\u56fd\u503e\u542c\u9009\u6c11\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u76d1\u7968\u3002\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u5219\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u53f8\u6cd5\u8ffd\u7a76\u4e86\u653f\u53d8\u56fe\u8c0b\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u4ecd\u987b\u5728\u7968\u7bb1\u4e0a\u518d\u8d62\u4e00\u6b21\u3002\u4f46\u4e09\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u4f53\u6027\u8d28\u5404\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u81ea\u5df1\u4e5f\u627f\u8ba4\uff0c2006\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u54ea\u4e2a\u6c11\u4e3b\u8fd0\u52a8\u63a8\u7ffb\u8fc7\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u5f0f\u7684\u5168\u9762\u72ec\u88c1\u3002\u585e\u5c14\u7ef4\u4e9a\u7684\u65b0\u591a\u6570\u80fd\u5426\u62c6\u89e3\u65e7\u653f\u6743\u5bf9\u53f8\u6cd5\u548c\u5a92\u4f53\u7684\u6e17\u900f\uff0c\u5362\u62c9\u80fd\u5426\u4e0e\u53f3\u7ffc\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u56fd\u4f1a\u5171\u5904\uff0c\u90fd\u8fd8\u662f\u672a\u77e5\u6570\u3002\u6587\u4e2d\u6279\u8bc4”\u5148\u7a33\u5b9a\u3001\u540e\u9009\u4e3e”\u7684\u903b\u8f91\uff0c\u4e3b\u5f20\u53ea\u6709\u81ea\u7531\u516c\u6b63\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u624d\u80fd\u4ea7\u751f\u6062\u590d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u5408\u6cd5\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u5c24\u5176\u503c\u5f97\u4e2d\u6587\u8bfb\u8005\u7559\u610f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6765\u6e90<\/h3>\n

Larry Diamond, \u201cA New Day for Democracy,\u201d Journal of Democracy<\/em>, Online Exclusive, October 2026.
\nhttps:\/\/www.journalofdemocracy.org\/online-exclusive\/a-new-day-for-democracy\/<\/a><\/p>\n

\u6234\u96c5\u95e8\uff1a\u80e1\u4f5b\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u53ca\u65af\u5766\u798f\u5927\u5b66\u5f17\u91cc\u66fc\u00b7\u65af\u6ce2\u683c\u5229\u56fd\u9645\u95ee\u9898\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u300a\u6c11\u4e3b\u5b63\u520a\u300b\u521b\u520a\u8054\u5408\u4e3b\u7f16\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\"
SAO PAULO, BRAZIL – OCTOBER 25: Supporters of candidate Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva celebrate with a cardboard of Lula after the general election day on October 25, 2026 in Sao Paulo, Brazil. According to official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, Lula Da Silva has 51.79% of the votes, while Flavio Bolsonaro, son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, has 48.21% with 99% of the votes scrutinized. Brazilians voted for the president who will run the country for the next 4 years. (Photo by Rodrigo Paiva\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u6458\u8981<\/h3>\n

\u4e00\u3001\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u7684”\u8f6c\u6298\u65e5”<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4f5c\u8005\u5148\u56de\u987e\u4e86”\u7b2c\u4e09\u6ce2”\u6c11\u4e3b\u5316\u4e2d\u7684\u51e0\u4e2a\u6807\u5fd7\u6027\u65e5\u671f\u3002”\u7b2c\u4e09\u6ce2”\u4e00\u8bf4\u51fa\u81ea\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u8005\u4ea8\u5ef7\u987f\uff0c\u63071974\u5e74\u8d77\u5e2d\u5377\u5357\u6b27\u3001\u62c9\u7f8e\u3001\u4e9a\u6d32\u548c\u4e1c\u6b27\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u6f6e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65e5\u671f\u5305\u62ec\uff1a<\/p>\n

    \n
  • 1974\u5e744\u670825\u65e5\uff0c\u8461\u8404\u7259\u5eb7\u4e43\u99a8\u9769\u547d\uff1b<\/li>\n
  • 1986\u5e742\u6708\uff0c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u6c11\u4f17\u6321\u4f4f\u9a6c\u79d1\u65af\u6d3e\u51fa\u7684\u5766\u514b\uff1b<\/li>\n
  • 1988\u5e7410\u67085\u65e5\uff0c\u667a\u5229\u516c\u6295\u5426\u51b3\u76ae\u8bfa\u5207\u7279\u7eed\u4efb\uff1b<\/li>\n
  • 1989\u5e7411\u67089\u65e5\uff0c\u67cf\u6797\u5899\u5012\u584c\uff1b<\/li>\n
  • 1990\u5e742\u670811\u65e5\uff0c\u66fc\u5fb7\u62c9\u83b7\u91ca\uff1b<\/li>\n
  • 2004\u5e7411\u6708\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6a59\u8272\u9769\u547d\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    \u4f5c\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6a59\u8272\u9769\u547d\u662f\u7b2c\u4e09\u6ce2\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u6b21\u9ad8\u6f6e\u3002\u7ea6\u4e24\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u8fdb\u5165”\u6c11\u4e3b\u8870\u9000”\uff0c\u6709\u5b66\u8005\u79f0\u4e4b\u4e3a\u5a01\u6743\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684”\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u56de\u6f6e”\u3002\u6b64\u540e\u7f05\u7538\u3001\u4f0a\u6717\u3001\u7a81\u5c3c\u65af\u3001\u57c3\u53ca\u7b49\u5730\u7684\u6c11\u4f17\u6297\u4e89\uff0c\u9664\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5916\uff08\u7a81\u5c3c\u65af\u53ea\u662f\u77ed\u6682\u4f8b\u5916\uff09\uff0c\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u5e26\u6765\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u6c11\u4e3b\u529b\u91cf\u91cd\u65b0\u663e\u51fa\u6d3b\u529b\uff1a2024\u5e74\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u56fd\u8d76\u8d70\u4e86\u72ec\u88c1\u8005\uff1b\u5728\u5df4\u897f\uff082022\uff09\u3001\u6ce2\u5170\uff082023\uff09\u3001\u6469\u5c14\u591a\u74e6\u548c\u65af\u91cc\u5170\u5361\uff082024\uff09\u3001\u7f57\u9a6c\u5c3c\u4e9a\uff082025\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u5308\u7259\u5229\uff0c\u9009\u6c11\u90fd\u5728\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\u51fb\u8d25\u4e86\u4e13\u5236\u6216”\u975e\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49”\u7684\u9009\u9879\u3002”\u975e\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49”\u6307\u4fdd\u7559\u9009\u4e3e\u5f62\u5f0f\u3001\u5374\u524a\u5f31\u6cd5\u6cbb\u3001\u65b0\u95fb\u81ea\u7531\u548c\u6743\u529b\u5236\u8861\u7684\u8def\u7ebf\u3002<\/p>\n

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    \u4f5c\u8005\u63f4\u5f15\u65af\u5c14\u8d3e\u00b7\u6ce2\u6ce2\u7ef4\u5947\uff08Srdja Popovic\uff09\u5728\u300a\u6c11\u4e3b\u5b63\u520a\u300b\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u5f52\u7eb3\u4e86\u4e09\u70b9\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/p>\n

      \n
    • \u8fd0\u52a8\u6ca1\u6709\u516c\u5f00\u7684\u9886\u8896\uff0c\u4f46\u6709\u5f88\u6df1\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\u67b6\u6784\uff0c\u4e3a”\u5b66\u751f\u540d\u5355”\u7684\u5168\u90e8250\u4e2a\u5e2d\u4f4d\u63d0\u540d\u4e86\u591a\u5143\u3001\u53d7\u5c0a\u91cd\u7684\u5019\u9009\u4eba\uff1b<\/li>\n
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      • \u6b66\u5951\u5947\u51e0\u4e4e\u7acb\u523b\u8ba4\u8f93\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u5217\u51fa\u51e0\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u89e3\u91ca\uff1a\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5176\u8150\u8d25\u7684\u5f3a\u70c8\u538c\u6076\uff1b\u7ea613\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\uff1b\u6b27\u5c14\u73ed\u8fc5\u901f\u8ba4\u8f93\u7684\u5148\u4f8b\uff1b\u4e5f\u8bb8\u4ed6\u8fd8\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u7ecf\u9a8c\u7684\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u96be\u4ee5\u6267\u653f\u3001\u96be\u4ee5\u62c6\u9664\u65e7\u4f53\u5236\uff0c\u81ea\u5df1\u5c06\u6765\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e1c\u5c71\u518d\u8d77\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

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