{"id":7812,"date":"2026-11-06T18:00:46","date_gmt":"2026-11-06T23:00:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/?p=7812"},"modified":"2026-11-06T18:00:46","modified_gmt":"2026-11-06T23:00:46","slug":"%e6%98%8e%e5%85%8b%e8%83%9c%ef%bc%9a%e6%bc%ab%e9%95%bf%e7%9a%84%e9%bb%84%e6%98%8f-%e4%ba%ba%e5%8f%a3%e8%a1%b0%e9%80%80%e4%b8%8e%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e5%83%b5%e5%8c%96%e4%b8%8b%e7%9a%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/?p=7812","title":{"rendered":"\u660e\u514b\u80dc\uff1a\u6f2b\u957f\u7684\u9ec4\u660f\u2014\u2014\u4eba\u53e3\u8870\u9000\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u50f5\u5316\u4e0b\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 dir=\"ltr\" aria-level=\"4\">\u7f16\u6309<\/h3>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u4eba\u53e3\u5b66\u4e0a\u7684\u201c\u4e0b\u884c\u201d\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u4e0d\u662f\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u73b0\u5b9e\uff1a\u603b\u4eba\u53e3\u81ea2021\u5e74\u89c1\u9876\u540e\uff0c\u6bcf\u5e74\u51cf\u5c11\u4e09\u56db\u767e\u4e07\u4eba\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u798f\u7279\u6c49\u59c6\u5927\u5b66\u6cd5\u5b66\u9662\u6559\u6388\u660e\u514b\u80dc\uff08Carl Minzner\uff09\u6b64\u6587\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u4ed6\u6ca1\u6709\u628a\u4eba\u53e3\u8870\u9000\u5f53\u4f5c\u5355\u7eaf\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u628a\u5b83\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u5236\u5ea6\u7684\u6f14\u53d8\u653e\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u770b\u3002\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6539\u9769\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u80fd\u628a\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea2\u5229\uff08\u52b3\u52a8\u5e74\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\u5360\u6bd4\u9ad8\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u589e\u957f\u4f18\u52bf\uff09\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5f53\u65f6\u9ad8\u5c42\u6743\u529b\u5173\u7cfb\u4e0e\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u9886\u57df\u90fd\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u5f00\u653e\u6027\uff0c\u80fd\u5bb9\u7eb3\u50cf\u519c\u6751\u6539\u9769\u3001\u5206\u7a0e\u5236\u3001\u56fd\u4f01\u6539\u5236\u90a3\u6837\u4ee3\u4ef7\u9ad8\u6602\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u8c03\u6574\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u515a\u7684\u4f53\u5236\u56de\u5230\u4e00\u4eba\u7edf\u6cbb\uff0c\u5b98\u5458\u4e60\u60ef\u4e8e\u6267\u884c\u4e2d\u592e\u610f\u5fd7\u800c\u975e\u89e3\u51b3\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5ef6\u8fdf\u9000\u4f11\u3001\u57ce\u4e61\u517b\u8001\u5dee\u8ddd\u7b49\u660e\u663e\u7684\u6539\u9769\u8bae\u9898\u90fd\u88ab\u4e00\u62d6\u518d\u62d6\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u66f4\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5b98\u65b9\u63a8\u52a8\u7684\u672c\u571f\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e0e\u4f20\u7edf\u6027\u522b\u89c2\u5ff5\uff0c\u4f1a\u8ba9\u5a5a\u80b2\u548c\u5f15\u8fdb\u5916\u52b3\u90fd\u66f4\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u4f7f\u4eba\u53e3\u95ee\u9898\u6076\u5316\u800c\u975e\u7f13\u89e3\uff1b\u5f53\u793e\u4f1a\u77db\u76fe\u79ef\u7d2f\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5e94\u5bf9\u65b9\u5f0f\u662f\u628a\u5b83\u201c\u5b89\u5168\u5316\u201d\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u628a\u793e\u4f1a\u95ee\u9898\u5f53\u4f5c\u7ef4\u7a33\u548c\u5b89\u5168\u95ee\u9898\u5904\u7406\u3002\u4ed6\u501f\u665a\u660e\u5f20\u5c45\u6b63\u6539\u9769\u5931\u8d25\u3001\u4e07\u5386\u6020\u653f\u3001\u674e\u81ea\u6210\u8d77\u4e8b\u4f5c\u7c7b\u6bd4\uff0c\u8b66\u793a\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u57282030\u20142040\u5e74\u4ee3\u9762\u4e34\u7ee7\u627f\u5371\u673a\u4e0e\u793e\u4f1a\u65ad\u88c2\u53e0\u52a0\u7684\u5c40\u9762\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u6700\u540e\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u6307\u51fa\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u3001\u53cd\u79fb\u6c11\u548c\u56fd\u4f1a\u50f5\u5c40\u540c\u6837\u53ef\u80fd\u4fb5\u8680\u4e00\u4e2a\u5927\u56fd\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u8f83\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u5728\u4e8e\u63d0\u9192\u8bfb\u8005\uff1a\u4eba\u53e3\u8d8b\u52bf\u672c\u8eab\u4e0d\u51b3\u5b9a\u547d\u8fd0\uff0c\u51b3\u5b9a\u547d\u8fd0\u7684\u662f\u5236\u5ea6\u80fd\u5426\u6301\u7eed\u5730\u4f5c\u51fa\u7ea0\u9519\u548c\u9009\u62e9\u3002<\/p>\n<ul dir=\"ltr\">\n<li>\u539f\u6587\uff1aCarl Minzner, \u201cChina\u2019s Long Twilight: Demographic Decline, Political Paralysis, and the Fate of Great Powers,\u201d <em>Foreign Affairs<\/em>, November\/December 2026\uff08\u7f51\u7edc\u7248\u53d1\u5e03\u4e8e2026\u5e7410\u67085\u65e5\uff09<\/li>\n<li>\u94fe\u63a5\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/china\/chinas-long-twilight-carl-minzner\">https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/china\/chinas-long-twilight-carl-minzner<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_7814\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-7814\" style=\"width: 432px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-7814\" src=\"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/1_Minzner.jpg-300x200.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"432\" height=\"288\" srcset=\"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/1_Minzner.jpg-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/1_Minzner.jpg-1024x683.webp 1024w, https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/1_Minzner.jpg-768x512.webp 768w, https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/1_Minzner.jpg-1536x1024.webp 1536w, https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/1_Minzner.jpg-2048x1365.webp 2048w, https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/1_Minzner.jpg-1200x800.webp 1200w, https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/1_Minzner.jpg-1980x1320.webp 1980w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 432px) 100vw, 432px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-7814\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">At the Dongyue Temple in Beijing, February 2026 Maxim Shemetov \/ Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3 dir=\"ltr\" aria-level=\"4\">\u6458\u8981<\/h3>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>1. \u4eba\u53e3\u7ea2\u5229\u7684\u9000\u6f6e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6539\u9769\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u5e74\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\uff0815\u201464\u5c81\uff09\u5360\u6bd4\u4ece1978\u5e74\u768457%\u5347\u81f32010\u5e74\u7684\u8fd175%\uff0c\u652f\u6491\u4e86\u4e09\u5341\u5e74\u8fd110%\u7684\u5e74\u589e\u901f\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89c4\u6a21\u6269\u5927\u7ea620\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u72ec\u751f\u5b50\u5973\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u6574\u4e2a\u4e1c\u4e9a\u5171\u6709\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u5df2\u8fde\u7eed\u4e09\u5341\u5e74\u4f4e\u4e8e\u66f4\u66ff\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u66f4\u66ff\u6c34\u5e73\u6307\u7ef4\u6301\u4eba\u53e3\u89c4\u6a21\u4e0d\u53d8\u6240\u9700\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u7387\uff0c\u7ea6\u4e3a\u6bcf\u540d\u5987\u5973\u751f\u80b22.1\u4e2a\u5b69\u5b50\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u603b\u4eba\u53e3\u57282021\u5e74\u4ee514\u4ebf\u89c1\u9876\uff0c\u6b64\u540e\u6bcf\u5e74\u51cf\u5c11\u4e09\u56db\u767e\u4e07\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u6bcf\u5e74\u5c11\u4e00\u4e2a\u6d1b\u6749\u77f6\u3002\u82e5\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e1c\u4e9a\u7684\u8d85\u4f4e\u751f\u80b2\u7387\uff0c2040\u5e74\u4ee3\u6bcf\u5e74\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u7ea61%\uff0c\u5373\u7ea61000\u4e07\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n<p>65\u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4eba\u53e3\u5360\u6bd4\u5c06\u4ece\u76ee\u524d\u768415%\u7ffb\u500d\u52302040\u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u7ea630%\uff0c\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u540e\u671f\u8d85\u8fc740%\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u540c\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u9884\u8ba1\u4ece\u7ea619%\u7f13\u5347\u81f32060\u5e74\u7684\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e23%\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>2. \u653f\u6cbb\u5012\u9000\uff1a\u4ece\u6280\u672f\u5b98\u50da\u6cbb\u7406\u5230\u4e00\u4eba\u7edf\u6cbb<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\u5f15\u7528\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u4e13\u680f\u4f5c\u8005\u8881\u8389\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u79cd\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7fa1\u6155\u201d\uff0c\u5373\u60ca\u53f9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684AI\u3001\u7535\u6c60\u3001\u5149\u4f0f\u548c\u9ad8\u94c1\u3002\u4f46\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8868\u8c61\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u540c\u6837\u6df1\u523b\u3001\u53ea\u662f\u66f4\u5b89\u9759\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4fb5\u8680\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5217\u4e3e\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u5316\u7edf\u6cbb\u8ff9\u8c61\uff1a<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>2018\u5e74\u53d6\u6d88\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4efb\u671f\u9650\u5236\uff1b<\/li>\n<li>2022\u5e74\u4e8c\u5341\u5927\u6e05\u6d17\u9ad8\u5c42\u5e76\u5b89\u63d2\u4eb2\u4fe1\uff1b<\/li>\n<li>\u519b\u961f\u9ad8\u5c42\u53cd\u590d\u6574\u8083\uff0c2026\u5e74\u8fde\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u4eb2\u81ea\u6311\u9009\u7684\u5f20\u53c8\u4fa0\u4e5f\u88ab\u62ff\u4e0b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5c06\u4e8e2027\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u7b2c\u56db\u4e2a\u603b\u4e66\u8bb0\u4efb\u671f\uff1b2032\u5e74\u4ed6\u5c0679\u5c81\uff0c\u81f3\u4eca\u6ca1\u6709\u63a5\u73ed\u5b89\u6392\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\u4ee5\u519c\u6751\u6539\u9769\u4eb2\u5386\u8005\u8d75\u6811\u51ef\u4e3a\u8bc1\uff1a\u6539\u9769\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u7a81\u7834\u4f9d\u8d56\u201c\u9ad8\u5c42\u6743\u529b\u5173\u7cfb\u548c\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u9886\u57df\u7684\u5f00\u653e\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8fd8\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e86\u4e24\u6bb5\u53f2\u5b9e\uff1a\u6c5f\u6cfd\u6c11\u6388\u6743\u6731\u9555\u57fa\u63a8\u884c1994\u5e74\u5206\u7a0e\u5236\uff1b\u6731\u9555\u57fa\u4e0d\u60dc\u6570\u5343\u4e07\u4eba\u4e0b\u5c97\u3001\u5f15\u53d1\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u52b3\u5de5\u6297\u8bae\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u56fd\u4f01\u6539\u5236\u4ee5\u52a0\u5165\u4e16\u8d38\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u76f8\u53cd\u30022022\u5e74\u4e0a\u6d77\u539f\u672c\u5c1d\u8bd5\u7cbe\u51c6\u9632\u75ab\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0e\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u62bc\u4e0a\u4e2a\u4eba\u5a01\u4fe1\u7684\u201c\u6e05\u96f6\u201d\u653f\u7b56\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u6f14\u53d8\u4e3a\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u5c01\u57ce\u3002\u65f6\u4efb\u5e02\u59d4\u4e66\u8bb0\u674e\u5f3a\u975e\u4f46\u672a\u88ab\u95ee\u8d23\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u8fdb\u5165\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u5e38\u59d4\u4f1a\u5e76\u51fa\u4efb\u603b\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>3. \u6539\u9769\u505c\u6ede\uff1a\u517b\u8001\u91d1\u4e0e\u57ce\u4e61\u9e3f\u6c9f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u9000\u4f11\u5e74\u9f84\u957f\u671f\u5904\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u4f4e\u4e4b\u5217\uff1a\u7537\u602760\u5c81\uff0c\u5973\u5e72\u90e855\u5c81\uff0c\u5973\u5de5\u4eba50\u5c81\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b66\u8005\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u8986\u76d6\u7ea65\u4ebf\u4eba\u7684\u57ce\u9547\u804c\u5de5\u517b\u8001\u91d1\u5c06\u57282030\u5e74\u4ee3\u4e2d\u671f\u8017\u5c3d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2024\u5e74\u624d\u5ba3\u5e03\u6e10\u8fdb\u5f0f\u5ef6\u8fdf\u9000\u4f11\uff0c\u52302040\u5e74\u5b8c\u5168\u5b9e\u65bd\u540e\u4e5f\u53ea\u6709\uff1a\u753763\u5c81\uff0c\u5973\u5e72\u90e858\u5c81\uff0c\u5973\u5de5\u4eba55\u5c81\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2022\u5e74\uff0c\u7ea61.38\u4ebf\u57ce\u9547\u9000\u4f11\u4eba\u5458\u5e74\u5747\u517b\u8001\u91d16080\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u7ea6\u4e3a1.75\u4ebf\u519c\u6751\u548c\u6d41\u52a8\u4eba\u53e3\u9000\u4f11\u8005\uff08\u5e74\u5747345\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u768418\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u518d\u5206\u914d\u6539\u9769\u8fdf\u8fdf\u4e0d\u63a8\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b98\u5458\u66f4\u5bb3\u6015\u5f97\u7f6a\u57ce\u5e02\u65e2\u5f97\u5229\u76ca\u7fa4\u4f53\uff08\u516c\u52a1\u5458\u3001\u56fd\u4f01\u804c\u5de5\u3001\u4e2d\u4ea7\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u519c\u6751\u548c\u6d41\u52a8\u4eba\u53e3\u7f3a\u4e4f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u52a8\u5458\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>4. 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dir=\"ltr\"><strong>5. 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dir=\"ltr\"><strong>6. \u201c\u5b9a\u65f6\u70b8\u5f39\u201d\uff1a\u793e\u4f1a\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u5316<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5168\u8ba4\u540c\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f1a\u5728\u4e0b\u884c\u524d\u5192\u9669\u653b\u53f0\u201d\u7684\u201c\u7406\u6027\u8d4c\u535a\u8bba\u201d\uff0c\u5373 Brands \u4e0e Beckley \u5728\u300a\u5371\u9669\u5730\u5e26\u300b\uff08<em>Danger Zone<\/em>\uff09\u4e2d\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u3002\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u662f\u5b64\u7acb\u7684\u5e74\u8fc8\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4e25\u91cd\u8bef\u5224\uff0c\u7c7b\u6bd4\u666e\u4eac2022\u5e74\u5165\u4fb5\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u3001\u7279\u6717\u666e2026\u5e74\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u5f00\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u66f4\u6df1\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5728\u5185\u90e8\u30022023\u5e74\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u793e\u4f1a\u5de5\u4f5c\u90e8\u8d1f\u8d23\u5173\u6ce8\u201c\u56db\u7f3a\u201d\u4eba\u5458\uff08\u65e0\u914d\u5076\u5b50\u5973\u3001\u65e0\u5de5\u4f5c\u6216\u7a33\u5b9a\u6536\u5165\u3001\u65e0\u6b63\u5e38\u793e\u4ea4\u3001\u65e0\u623f\u8f66\u7b49\u8d44\u4ea7\uff09\u548c\u201c\u4e94\u5931\u201d\u4eba\u5458\uff08\u6295\u8d44\u5931\u8d25\u3001\u4e8b\u4e1a\u6216\u4eba\u751f\u53d7\u632b\u3001\u60c5\u7eea\u5931\u8861\u3001\u7cbe\u795e\u75be\u75c5\u3001\u4eba\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u5931\u8d25\uff09\uff0c\u5c06\u5176\u89c6\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u5236\u9020\u6076\u6027\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u9690\u60a3\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u4e3e\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f2024\u5e7411\u6708\u4e00\u540d62\u5c81\u7537\u5b50\u56e0\u79bb\u5a5a\u8d22\u4ea7\u5206\u5272\u4e0d\u6ee1\u9a7e\u8f66\u51b2\u649e\u4eba\u7fa4\u3001\u81f4\u6570\u5341\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u5316\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u95ee\u9898\u90fd\u4f1a\u88ab\u201c\u5b89\u5168\u5316\u201d\uff0c\u5373\u5f53\u4f5c\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u7ef4\u7a33\u95ee\u9898\u5904\u7406\uff0c\u4f9d\u9760\u76d1\u63a7\u548c\u7f51\u683c\u5316\u7ba1\u7406\uff08\u628a\u57ce\u4e61\u5212\u6210\u5c0f\u683c\u3001\u7531\u4e13\u4eba\u5305\u5e72\u76d1\u63a7\u7684\u57fa\u5c42\u6cbb\u7406\u65b9\u5f0f\uff09\u6765\u538b\u4f4f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u665a\u660e\u7684\u7c7b\u6bd4\uff1a<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\u5f20\u5c45\u6b63\u8bd5\u56fe\u8ba9\u58eb\u7ec5\u627f\u62c5\u66f4\u591a\u7a0e\u8d1f\uff0c1582\u5e74\u6b7b\u540e\u6539\u9769\u88ab\u63a8\u7ffb<\/li>\n<li>\u4e07\u5386\u7687\u5e1d\u4e0e\u5b98\u50da\u957f\u671f\u5bf9\u5cd9\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u671d\u653f\u762b\u75ea\uff1b<\/li>\n<li>1620\u5e74\u4ee3\u88c1\u64a4\u9a7f\u7ad9\uff0c\u4f7f\u9a7f\u5352\u674e\u81ea\u6210\u5931\u4e1a\uff0c\u540e\u6765\u4ed6\u7387\u9886\u9965\u6c11\u8d77\u4e8b\uff0c1644\u5e74\u63a8\u7ffb\u660e\u671d\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>\u5f53\u4ee3\u7684\u5bf9\u5e94\u8ff9\u8c61\uff1a<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\u5730\u65b9\u8d22\u653f\u5403\u7d27\uff0c\u62d6\u6b20\u6559\u5e08\u548c\u516c\u52a1\u5458\u5de5\u8d44\uff1b<\/li>\n<li>\u57ce\u4e61\u5c45\u6c11\u533b\u4fdd\u4fdd\u8d39\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u5e74\u5747\u4e0a\u6da820%\uff0c\u7ea68300\u4e07\u4eba\u8fd1\u5e74\u9000\u4fdd\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ul>\n<li 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