{"id":7888,"date":"2026-11-14T16:48:43","date_gmt":"2026-11-14T21:48:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/?p=7888"},"modified":"2026-11-14T16:48:43","modified_gmt":"2026-11-14T21:48:43","slug":"%e4%b8%ad%e6%9c%9f%e9%80%89%e4%b8%be%e4%b9%8b%e5%90%8e%ef%bc%9a%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e6%b0%91%e4%b8%bb%e4%b9%90%e8%a7%82%e5%be%97%e8%bf%98%e4%b8%8d%e5%a4%9f%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/?p=7888","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\u4e4b\u540e\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u6c11\u4e3b&#8221;\u4e50\u89c2\u5f97\u8fd8\u4e0d\u591f&#8221;\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 dir=\"ltr\" aria-level=\"4\">\u7f16\u6309<\/h2>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u672c\u680f 10 \u6708 3 \u65e5\u7f16\u8bd1\u7684\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/?p=7308\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u6027\u5a01\u6743\u4e3b\u4e49\u300b<\/a>\u4e2d\uff0c\u5217\u7ef4\u8328\u57fa\uff08Steven Levitsky\uff09\u4e0e\u97e6\uff08Lucan A. Way\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4efb\u671f\u4e0b\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5df2\u8fdb\u5165\u7ade\u4e89\u6027\u5a01\u6743\u4e3b\u4e49\uff08competitive authoritarianism\uff09\u3002\u6240\u8c13\u7ade\u4e89\u6027\u5a01\u6743\u4e3b\u4e49\uff0c\u662f\u6307\u9009\u4e3e\u4ecd\u5728\u4e3e\u884c\uff0c\u4f46\u6267\u653f\u65b9\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u5730\u6ee5\u7528\u56fd\u5bb6\u673a\u5668\uff0c\u4f7f\u7ade\u4e89\u4e25\u91cd\u5931\u8861\u3002\u9a6c\u91cc\u5170\u5927\u5b66\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u5f17\u6717\u897f\u4e1d\u00b7\u674e\uff08Frances Lee\uff09\u5219\u5728\u9009\u524d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u51e0\u9879\u76f8\u53cd\u7684\u3001\u53ef\u4ee5\u68c0\u9a8c\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff1a\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\u4f1a\u7167\u5e38\u5bf9\u603b\u7edf\u5f62\u6210\u5236\u7ea6\uff0c\u5341\u5e74\u671f\u4e2d\u9014\u91cd\u5212\u9009\u533a\u6321\u4e0d\u4f4f\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u53cd\u8f6c\uff0c\u8d25\u9009\u65b9\u4f1a\u8ba4\u8f93\u3002\u9009\u540e\uff0c\u5979\u5728\u4e0e\u8303\u5fb7\u5821\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u8d5b\u5179\uff08John Sides\uff09\u7684\u8bbf\u8c08\u4e2d\u9010\u9879\u5bf9\u7167\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u7ed3\u8bba\u662f\u81ea\u5df1\u201c\u4e50\u89c2\u5f97\u8fd8\u4e0d\u591f\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u4e24\u65b9\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u4e0d\u5728\u4e8e\u4e8b\u5b9e\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e8e\u7528\u4ec0\u4e48\u5c3a\u5ea6\u8861\u91cf\u6c11\u4e3b\u3002\u5217\u7ef4\u8328\u57fa\u4e0e\u97e6\u7740\u773c\u4e8e\u9009\u4e3e\u4e4b\u5916\u7684\u6743\u529b\u8fd0\u4f5c\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8d77\u8bc9\u6279\u8bc4\u8005\u3001\u5411\u5f8b\u6240\u3001\u5927\u5b66\u548c\u5a92\u4f53\u65bd\u538b\u3002\u674e\u627f\u8ba4\u5bf9\u65b9\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u9762\u8bba\u636e\u66f4\u6709\u529b\uff0c\u4e5f\u627f\u8ba4\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u80dc\u9009\u672c\u8eab\u4e0d\u80fd\u8bc1\u660e\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b8c\u5168\u6c11\u4e3b\u3002\u4f46\u5979\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5c31\u9009\u4e3e\u7ade\u4e89\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8054\u90a6\u5206\u6743\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u6cd5\u9662\u7684\u5236\u7ea6\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e24\u515a\u9009\u533a\u64cd\u7eb5\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u62b5\u6d88\uff0c\u4f7f 2026 \u5e74\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u73af\u5883\u6ca1\u6709\u51fa\u73b0\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u626d\u66f2\u3002\u4e24\u7bc7\u5bf9\u7167\u7740\u8bfb\uff0c\u6b63\u53ef\u68c0\u9a8c\u65e7\u6587\u7f16\u6309\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u201c\u6709\u5f85\u68c0\u9a8c\u7684\u5206\u6790\u6846\u67b6\u201d\u3002\u6587\u4e2d\u6570\u636e\u5747\u4e3a\u9009\u540e\u521d\u6b65\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u9009\u60c5\u5c1a\u672a\u6700\u7ec8\u786e\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/strong> John Sides, Frances Lee, \u201cWhat the midterm showed about American democracy,\u201d <em>Good Authority<\/em>, 2026 \u5e74 11 \u6708 8 \u65e5\u3002<br \/>\n\u539f\u6587\u94fe\u63a5\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/goodauthority.org\/news\/what-the-midterm-showed-about-american-democracy\/\">https:\/\/goodauthority.org\/news\/what-the-midterm-showed-about-american-democracy\/<\/a><br \/>\n\u76f8\u5173\u9605\u8bfb\uff1a\u672c\u680f\u300a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u6027\u5a01\u6743\u4e3b\u4e49\u300b<a href=\"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/?p=7308\">https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/?p=7308<\/a><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_7890\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-7890\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-7890\" src=\"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/Midterms-Frances-Lee-Good-Chat-300x150.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"150\" srcset=\"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/Midterms-Frances-Lee-Good-Chat-300x150.webp 300w, https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/Midterms-Frances-Lee-Good-Chat-768x384.webp 768w, https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/Midterms-Frances-Lee-Good-Chat.webp 800w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-7890\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Photo by Vitalii Abakumov on Unsplash. Images combined on Canva.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<hr \/>\n<h2 dir=\"ltr\" aria-level=\"4\">\u6458\u8981<\/h2>\n<h3 dir=\"ltr\" aria-level=\"5\">\u4e00\u3001\u201c\u4e50\u89c2\u5f97\u8fd8\u4e0d\u591f\u201d\uff1a\u5e38\u89c4\u89c4\u5f8b\u4f9d\u7136\u6210\u7acb<\/h3>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u674e\u5728\u9009\u524d\u53d1\u8868\u4e8e\u300a\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u5b63\u520a\u300b\uff08<em>Political Science Quarterly<\/em>\uff09\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c2026 \u5e74\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\u4f1a\u9075\u5faa\u5e38\u89c4\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u5979\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7ed3\u679c\u5370\u8bc1\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8d85\u51fa\u4e86\u5979\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>1\uff09\u6295\u7968\u7387\uff1a<\/strong> \u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u591a\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u9ad8\uff0c\u9009\u7968\u603b\u6570\u521b\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\u7eaa\u5f55\u30022\uff09<strong>\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff1a<\/strong> \u81ea 1938 \u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6267\u653f\u515a\u5728\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\u5931\u53bb\u4f17\u8bae\u9662\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u4e24\u6b21\u4f8b\u5916\u3002\u8fd9\u6b21\u5171\u548c\u515a\u4e22\u5931\u7684\u5e2d\u4f4d\u6570\uff0c\u4e0e\u603b\u7edf\u652f\u6301\u7387\u5904\u4e8e 30% \u4e2d\u540e\u6bb5\u65f6\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u9884\u671f\u201c\u51e0\u4e4e\u5b8c\u5168\u4e00\u81f4\u201d\u30023\uff09<strong>\u9009\u6c11\u4e0d\u6ee1\uff1a<\/strong> \u51fa\u53e3\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u9009\u6c11\u5bf9\u603b\u7edf\u7684\u4e0d\u6ee1\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u548c\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u5904\u7406\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u771f\u6b63\u4e0d\u5bfb\u5e38\u7684\u662f\u6446\u52a8\u5e45\u5ea6\u3002\u5728\u4e24\u6781\u5206\u5316\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86 1970 \u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u5927\u7684\u666e\u9009\u7968\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u5b83\u8fd8\u5728\u582a\u8428\u65af\u5dde\u3001\u5357\u5361\u7f57\u6765\u7eb3\u5dde\u8fd9\u4e9b\u957f\u671f\u51e0\u4e4e\u653e\u5f03\u7ade\u4e89\u7684\u5dde\u8d62\u5f97\u4e86\u53c2\u8bae\u9662\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff0c\u8ba1\u7968\u5b8c\u6210\u540e\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u518d\u62ff\u4e0b\u5bc6\u897f\u897f\u6bd4\u5dde\u7684\u4e00\u5e2d\u3002\u674e\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u8bf4\u660e\u4e24\u515a\u7ade\u4e89\u7684\u8303\u56f4\u6bd4\u4e00\u822c\u8ba4\u77e5\u66f4\u5e7f\uff0c\u4e5f\u6bd4\u5979\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u9884\u671f\u66f4\u5e7f\u3002<\/p>\n<h3 dir=\"ltr\" aria-level=\"5\">\u4e8c\u3001\u9009\u533a\u91cd\u5212\uff1a&#8221;\u9632\u706b\u5899&#8221;\u53d8\u6210\u81ea\u4f24<\/h3>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u674e\u5728\u9009\u524d\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u91cd\u5212\u9009\u533a\u6321\u4e0d\u4f4f\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u53cd\u8f6c\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5224\u65ad\u751a\u81f3\u8bf4\u5f97\u4fdd\u5b88\u4e86\u3002\u5171\u548c\u515a\u4e3a\u4e86\u63d0\u9ad8\u8bae\u5e2d\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u628a\u5df1\u65b9\u9009\u6c11\u5206\u6563\u5230\u66f4\u591a\u9009\u533a\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u4e00\u9047\u5230\u4e0d\u5229\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u98ce\u5411\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u5168\u7ebf\u5931\u5b88\u3002\u5979\u79f0\u8fd9\u79cd\u5f04\u5de7\u6210\u62d9\u7684\u5212\u5206\u4e3a\u201cdummymander\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8bcd\u7531 gerrymander\uff08\u4e0d\u516c\u6b63\u5212\u5206\u9009\u533a\uff0c\u5373\u4e3a\u672c\u515a\u5229\u76ca\u64cd\u7eb5\u9009\u533a\u8fb9\u754c\uff09\u548c dummy\uff08\u8822\uff09\u5408\u6210\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u620f\u79f0\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5317\u5361\u7f57\u6765\u7eb3\u5dde\uff1a<\/strong> \u5171\u548c\u515a\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u5dde\u8bae\u4f1a 2025 \u5e74\u91cd\u5212\u9009\u533a\uff0c\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u5728 14 \u4e2a\u4f17\u8bae\u9662\u5e2d\u4f4d\u4e2d\u62ff\u4e0b 11 \u5e2d\u3001\u5bf9\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a 3 \u5e2d\u3002\u4ece\u76ee\u524d\u8ba1\u7968\u770b\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u53ef\u80fd\u8d62\u5f97\u5176\u4e2d 10 \u5e2d\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u9ed1\u4eba\u8bae\u5458\u4eba\u6570\uff1a<\/strong> \u6700\u9ad8\u6cd5\u9662\u5728 <em>Callais<\/em> \u6848\u4e2d\u6536\u7a84\u4e86\u300a\u6295\u7968\u6743\u6cd5\u300b\uff08Voting Rights Act\uff09\u7684\u9002\u7528\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u66fe\u5f15\u53d1\u5916\u754c\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u5728\u7b2c 120 \u5c4a\u56fd\u4f1a\u4e2d\uff0c\u9ed1\u4eba\u8bae\u5458\u7684\u4eba\u6570\u53ef\u80fd\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\u963f\u62c9\u5df4\u9a6c\u5dde\u7684\u8096\u9a6c\u91cc\u00b7\u83f2\u683c\u65af\uff08Shomari Figures\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u9009\u533a\u9ed1\u4eba\u9009\u6c11\u6bd4\u4f8b\u88ab\u538b\u4f4e\u5230 40%\uff0c\u4ed6\u4ecd\u7136\u6210\u529f\u8fde\u4efb\u3002<\/p>\n<h3 dir=\"ltr\" aria-level=\"5\">\u4e09\u3001\u8d25\u9009\u8005\u540c\u610f\uff1a\u89c4\u8303\u7684\u56de\u5f52<\/h3>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u201c\u8d25\u9009\u8005\u540c\u610f\u201d\uff08loser\u2019s consent\uff09\u7531\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u00b7\u7eb3\u591a\uff08Richard Nadeau\uff09\u4e0e\u5b89\u5fb7\u70c8\u00b7\u5e03\u83b1\uff08Andr\u00e9 Blais\uff09\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u6307\u5931\u8d25\u4e00\u65b9\u63a5\u53d7\u843d\u8d25\uff0c\u5e76\u627f\u8ba4\u80dc\u8005\u6709\u6743\u6267\u653f\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u6c11\u4e3b\u8fd0\u8f6c\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff1a<\/strong> \u9009\u524d\u4ed6\u6697\u793a\u53ef\u80fd\u628a\u4e0d\u5229\u7ed3\u679c\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u88ab\u64cd\u7eb5\u201d\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u53ea\u63a5\u53d7\u201c\u8bda\u5b9e\u201d\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u9009\u540e\u4ed6\u968f\u5373\u8868\u793a\u201c\u7edd\u5bf9\u613f\u610f\u201d\u63a5\u53d7\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5e76\u795d\u8d3a\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u9009\u524d\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u4f9d\u636e\uff1a<\/strong> \u201c\u5149\u660e\u7ebf\u89c2\u5bdf\u201d\uff08Bright Line Watch\uff09\u7814\u7a76\u4e86 2020 \u5e74\u548c 2022 \u5e74\u6709\u4e89\u8bae\u7684\u56fd\u4f1a\u9009\u4e3e\u3002\u591a\u6570\u843d\u8d25\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u90fd\u516c\u5f00\u8ba4\u8f93\uff0c\u62d2\u7edd\u8ba4\u8f93\u7684\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u5927\u6bd4\u5206\u843d\u8d25\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u53c2\u9009\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>2026 \u5e74\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff1a<\/strong> \u76ee\u524d\u843d\u8d25\u8005\u90fd\u5df2\u8ba4\u8f93\u3002\u5bc6\u897f\u897f\u6bd4\u5dde\u5171\u548c\u515a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e5f\u516c\u5f00\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u8fd9\u91cc\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u5426\u8ba4\u9009\u4e3e\u7ed3\u679c\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u674e\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c2021 \u5e74 1 \u6708 6 \u65e5\u56fd\u4f1a\u5927\u53a6\u906d\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u6b64\u540e\u8bb8\u591a\u5171\u548c\u515a\u5b98\u5458\u62d2\u7edd\u627f\u8ba4\u62dc\u767b\u5f53\u9009\uff1b\u7ecf\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8ba4\u8f93\u7684\u89c4\u8303\u6b63\u5728\u91cd\u65b0\u786e\u7acb\u3002\u5979\u540c\u65f6\u63d0\u9192\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u8003\u9a8c\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u5c1a\u672a\u8ba1\u5b8c\u7968\u7684\u6781\u63a5\u8fd1\u9009\u60c5\u3002<\/p>\n<h3 dir=\"ltr\" aria-level=\"5\">\u56db\u3001\u9009\u4e3e\u7ba1\u7406\uff1a\u5206\u6743\u4f53\u5236\u7684\u97e7\u6027<\/h3>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">2020 \u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u5927\u6279\u8d44\u6df1\u9009\u52a1\u4eba\u5458\u5728\u5a01\u80c1\u548c\u9a9a\u6270\u4e0b\u8f9e\u804c\uff0c\u4f46\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u6295\u7968\u4f53\u9a8c\u53cd\u800c\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6392\u961f\u65f6\u957f\uff1a<\/strong> \u9ebb\u7701\u7406\u5de5\u5b66\u9662\u67e5\u5c14\u65af\u00b7\u65af\u56fe\u5c14\u7279\uff08Charles Stewart\uff09\u4e3b\u6301\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c2022 \u5e74\u548c 2024 \u5e74\u6392\u961f\u8d85\u8fc7 30 \u5206\u949f\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u5c11\u4e8e 2020 \u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u79cd\u65cf\u5dee\u8ddd\uff1a<\/strong> \u76ae\u5c24\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08Pew Research Center\uff09\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u79cd\u65cf\u95f4\u6392\u961f\u65f6\u957f\u5dee\u8ddd\u5df2\u7ecf\u7f29\u5c0f\u3002\u5230 2024 \u5e74\uff0c\u9ed1\u4eba\u3001\u767d\u4eba\u3001\u62c9\u4e01\u88d4\u548c\u4e9a\u88d4\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u7b49\u5019\u65f6\u95f4\u5927\u81f4\u76f8\u5f53\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">2026 \u5e74\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u603b\u4f53\u5e73\u7a33\uff0c\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u662f\u9ad8\u6295\u7968\u7387\u4e0b\u7684\u5e38\u89c1\u95ee\u9898\uff1a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5dde\u5a01\u5f7b\u65af\u7279\u53bf\u626b\u63cf\u4eea\u6545\u969c\uff0c\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u90e8\u5206\u6295\u7968\u7ad9\u9009\u7968\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c\u5185\u534e\u8fbe\u5dde\u548c\u7231\u8fbe\u8377\u5dde\u90e8\u5206\u5730\u533a\u5927\u6392\u957f\u961f\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u62c5\u5fc3\u7684\u8054\u90a6\u5e72\u9884\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u79fb\u6c11\u6267\u6cd5\u4eba\u5458\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u6295\u7968\u7ad9\uff0c\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u8bd5\u56fe\u501f\u90ae\u653f\u7cfb\u7edf\u9650\u5236\u90ae\u5bc4\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u88ab\u6700\u9ad8\u6cd5\u9662\u963b\u6b62\u3002\u674e\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5206\u6563\u5728\u5404\u5dde\u548c\u5730\u65b9\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u7ba1\u7406\u4f53\u5236\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u9053\u4fdd\u969c\u3002\u5173\u4e8e 2026 \u5e74\u6295\u7968\u4f53\u9a8c\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u7814\u7a76\u5c1a\u5f85\u53d1\u8868\u3002<\/p>\n<h3 dir=\"ltr\" aria-level=\"5\">\u4e94\u3001\u56de\u5e94\u7ade\u4e89\u6027\u5a01\u6743\u4e3b\u4e49\u8bba<\/h3>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u674e\u9996\u5148\u8bf4\u660e\uff0c\u5217\u7ef4\u8328\u57fa\u4e0e\u97e6\uff08\u5373\u672c\u680f\u6b64\u524d\u7f16\u8bd1\u7684\u300a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u6027\u5a01\u6743\u4e3b\u4e49\u300b\u4e00\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\uff09\u5e76\u4e0d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7ade\u4e89\u6027\u5a01\u6743\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e0b\u6267\u653f\u65b9\u4e0d\u4f1a\u843d\u8d25\u3002\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\u83b7\u80dc\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u5308\u7259\u5229\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4f8b\u3002\u5979\u4e5f\u627f\u8ba4\uff0c\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u80dc\u9009\u672c\u8eab\u4e0d\u80fd\u8bc1\u660e\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b8c\u5168\u6c11\u4e3b\u3002\u4f46\u5979\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c2026 \u5e74\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u73af\u5883\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5f02\u5e38\u4e0d\u516c\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>1\uff09\u9650\u5236\u90ae\u5bc4\u6295\u7968\u7684\u4f01\u56fe\u88ab\u6700\u9ad8\u6cd5\u9662\u6321\u4e0b\u30022\uff09\u4e0d\u516c\u6b63\u5212\u5206\u9009\u533a\u662f\u4e24\u515a\u90fd\u7528\u8fc7\u7684\u8001\u624b\u6bb5\u3002\u5f97\u514b\u8428\u65af\u5dde\u65e9\u5728 2003 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Report\uff09\u4f30\u8ba1\u91cd\u5212\u9009\u533a\u53ea\u4f1a\u7ed9\u5171\u548c\u515a\u5e26\u6765 3 \u5230 7 \u5e2d\u7684\u6709\u9650\u6536\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u674e\u627f\u8ba4\uff0c\u5728\u9009\u4e3e\u4e4b\u5916\u7684\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u5373\u8c03\u67e5\u6279\u8bc4\u8005\u3001\u5411\u5927\u5b66\u3001\u5f8b\u6240\u548c\u5a92\u4f53\u65bd\u538b\uff0c\u5bf9\u65b9\u7684\u8bba\u636e\u66f4\u7ad9\u5f97\u4f4f\u3002\u4f46\u5979\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u505a\u6cd5\u662f\u5426\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u9009\u4e3e\u516c\u5e73\u5c1a\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8054\u90a6\u901a\u4fe1\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08FCC\uff09\u4e3b\u5e2d\u66fe\u5a01\u80c1\u540a\u9500\u5e7f\u64ad\u6267\u7167\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u4ecd\u6301\u7eed\u53d7\u5230\u6279\u8bc4\u6027\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u9009\u6c11\u4e5f\u4f9d\u636e\u6cb9\u4ef7\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u72ec\u7acb\u4f5c\u51fa\u5224\u65ad\u3002<\/p>\n<h3 dir=\"ltr\" aria-level=\"5\">\u516d\u3001\u5236\u8861\u7684\u6062\u590d<\/h3>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">2027 \u5e74 1 \u6708\u8d77\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u5c06\u540c\u65f6\u63a7\u5236\u53c2\u4f17\u4e24\u9662\u3002\u5c4a\u65f6\u56fd\u4f1a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c55\u5f00\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u53c2\u8bae\u9662\u5c06\u5ba1\u8bae\u603b\u7edf\u63d0\u540d\uff0c\u56fd\u4f1a\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u62e8\u6b3e\u6cd5\u6848\u4e2d\u9644\u52a0\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u674e\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5206\u7acb\u653f\u5e9c\uff08divided government\uff0c\u5373\u603b\u7edf\u4e0e\u56fd\u4f1a\u591a\u6570\u5206\u5c5e\u4e0d\u540c\u653f\u515a\uff09\u662f\u5baa\u6cd5\u672c\u8eab\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7684\u7ea0\u504f\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\u5982\u9884\u671f\u822c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u5b83\u3002<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u672c\u6587\u4e3a\u7f16\u8bd1\uff0c\u975e\u5168\u6587\u7ffb\u8bd1\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f16\u6309 \u672c\u680f 10 \u6708 3 \u65e5\u7f16\u8bd1\u7684\u300a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u6027\u5a01\u6743\u4e3b\u4e49\u300b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5217\u7ef4\u8328\u57fa\uff08Steven Levitsky\uff09\u4e0e\u97e6\uff08 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":7890,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7888","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-6","category-light"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7888","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7888"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7888\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7891,"href":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7888\/revisions\/7891"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/7890"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7888"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7888"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/chinademocrats.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7888"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}